5
Optimus
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Dieppe · Prix Ministere Du Bon Esprit Handicap Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/15
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 13/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 81% | +0.18 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 2/1 | 89% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 70% | -0.09 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |