10

Ginger Tonic

4yo Filly · 10-10

Dieppe · Prix Mon Controle Technique Rouxmesnil Handicap Hurdle · 2m 198y

#13

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 28/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14528/11C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 15/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Ver 14315/04C?C8 @ Auteuil 06/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 1526/05C8C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 15429/06C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m198y Gd 15211/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-06-29Clairefontaine?7th7th0
2026-06-01Cholet?0
2026-05-06Auteuil?4th4th0
2026-04-15Fontainebleau?6th6th0
2025-11-28Compiegne?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1115/046/0529/0611/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20259th12/137%27%-0.10
15/04/20266th33/10%50%+0.50
06/05/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
29/06/20267th25/10%40%+0.40
11/07/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19