9
Melchior Du Large
4yo Gelding · 10-10
Dieppe · Prix Mon Controle Technique Rouxmesnil Handicap Hurdle · 2m 198y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Dieppe | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-28 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |