IvyArcIvyArc
15

Merovee

4yo Gelding · 10-6

Dieppe · Prix Mon Controle Technique Rouxmesnil Handicap Hurdle · 2m 198y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 2m88y Hvy 14715/12C?4 @ Dieppe 01/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1471/064C0 @ Dieppe 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14410/07C?C8 @ Clairefontaine 27/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m2f86y Ver 15827/07C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Clairefontaine?2nd2nd0
2026-07-10Dieppe?3rd3rd0
2026-06-01Dieppe48th8th0
2025-12-29Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2025-12-15Cagnes-sur-Mer?6th6th0
2025-12-08Cagnes-sur-Mer?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/121/0610/0727/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength90%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20256th11/142%62%+0.19
01/06/20268th16/116%46%+0.30
10/07/20263rd17/255%80%+0.25
27/07/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24