4
Obstination
4yo Filly · 10-11
Dieppe · Prix Mon Controle Technique Rouxmesnil Handicap Hurdle · 2m 198y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-26 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 16
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 11/12/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 01/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 89% | +0.06 |
| 26/02/2026 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |