6

Proverbial

4yo Gelding · 10-11

Dieppe · Prix Mon Controle Technique Rouxmesnil Handicap Hurdle · 2m 198y

#15

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Clairefontaine 05/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 1475/09C?C0 @ Nancy 12/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14712/10C?C0 @ Argentan 06/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y 1546/03C?C8 @ Compiegne 01/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 1561/04C8projClass-projected finish: 15th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-01Compiegne?8th8th0
2026-03-06Argentan?6th6th0
2025-10-12Nancy?5th5th0
2025-09-05Clairefontaine?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0912/106/031/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20256th33/10%17%+0.17
12/10/20255th20/10%56%+0.56
06/03/20266th50/10%55%+0.55
01/04/20268th66/10%30%+0.30