1

Tributaries

4yo Colt · 11-0

Dieppe · Prix Mon Controle Technique Rouxmesnil Handicap Hurdle · 2m 198y

#12

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 1472/08C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 29/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 147C0 @ Compiegne 02/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f32y Hvy 1472/10C?C1 @ Compiegne 25/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f32y Hvy 145C0 @ Compiegne 01/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 1501/04C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y GS 153C0 @ Cholet 01/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 1541/06C?C0 @ Clairefontaine 29/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 13929/06C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29Clairefontaine?9th9th0
2026-06-01Cholet?2nd2nd0
2026-04-22La Teste De Buch?7th7th0
2026-04-01Compiegne?6th6th0
2025-10-25Compiegne?7th7th0
2025-10-02Compiegne?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0825/101/0629/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/08/20258th50/10%22%+0.22
29/08/20252nd50/10%90%+0.90
02/10/20255th50/10%33%+0.33
25/10/20257th33/10%14%+0.14
01/04/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
22/04/20267th16/116%45%+0.30
01/06/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16
29/06/20269th50/10%38%+0.38