4
Esprit Tranquille
7yo Gelding · 11-3
Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
72%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-11 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength93%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2023 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/09/2023 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 62% | +0.01 |
| 17/02/2024 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 28/02/2024 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 23/11/2024 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 45% | -0.10 |
| 20/10/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 23/03/2026 | 15th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 18/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |