11
Jazz Festival
7yo Gelding · 10-8
Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#9
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-08 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-02-25 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-01-04 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-12-01 | Craon | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength39%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2024 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 11/04/2024 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 02/05/2024 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 25/06/2024 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 18/11/2024 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 31% | -0.35 |
| 01/12/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 25/02/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 07/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |