1
Kelibia
6yo Mare · 11-4
Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-23 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-29 | Saint-Malo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-06-25 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-06-01 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2023 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 02/05/2024 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 01/06/2024 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 25/06/2024 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 05/11/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |