12
Kimarillo
7yo Gelding · 10-4
Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
24%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Moulins | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2024 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 26/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 77% | +0.16 |