2
Leandro Nonantais
5yo Gelding · 11-3
Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#11
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 47% | +0.05 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |