3
Saint Tunis
6yo Gelding · 11-3
Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-30 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Nancy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2024 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 11/08/2024 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 06/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |