10
Sirlight
8yo Gelding · 10-8
Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-31 | Pau | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Nantes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2023 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 11/03/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 21/04/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.03 |
| 06/05/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |
| 19/11/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 31/12/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.08 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 28/03/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 41% | +0.25 |
| 20/04/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.12 |