7

Sunny Swing

6yo Gelding · 10-13

Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 13/03/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m1f32y Hvy 14613/03C?C0 @ Compiegne 03/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m3f30y Hvy 147C0 @ Auteuil 27/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 14827/04C?C0 @ Compiegne 20/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 2m3f85y Sft 158C0 @ Strasbourg 11/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y Hvy 14711/11C?C0 @ Auteuil 29/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 154C0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 1548/05C?C0 @ Strasbourg 16/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m4f193y GS 147C0 @ Dieppe 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 2m2f195y Sft 15310/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10Dieppe?5th5th0
2026-06-16Strasbourg?2nd2nd0
2026-05-17Auteuil?0
2026-05-08Strasbourg?2nd2nd0
2025-11-29Auteuil?9th9th0
2025-11-11Strasbourg?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0320/108/0510/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20243rd13/266%71%+0.06
03/04/20242nd5/174%89%+0.15
27/04/20242nd7/163%91%+0.28
20/10/20258th11/142%0%-0.42
11/11/20254th7/163%57%-0.06
29/11/20259th25/10%43%+0.43
08/05/20262nd16/116%92%+0.76
16/06/20262nd7/163%90%+0.27
10/07/20265th9/276%67%-0.10