9
Zilia Rebel
6yo Gelding · 10-10
Dieppe · Prix Societe Nouvelle Abraham Depannage (prix Arenice) Handicap Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fontainebleau | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Pau | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-13 | Pau | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-06 | Fontainebleau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2024 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 13/07/2024 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 10/09/2024 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 03/10/2024 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/11/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 06/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |