10
Magie Du Roy
4yo Filly · 10-5
Dieppe · Prix Deep Jumping Hurdle · 2m 198y
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Le Lion D'angers | 3 | +2 | ||
| 2026-03-22 | Auteuil | 3 | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Craon | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.07 |
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |