1

Zayina
5yo Filly · 11-4
Dieppe · Prix Deep Jumping Hurdle · 2m 198y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼5
Strength53%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Clairefontaine | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 29/04/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 06/06/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 27/08/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 45% | -0.26 |
| 05/09/2025 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 05/11/2025 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 75% | -0.16 |