9

Brioni

5yo Gelding · 10-7

Dieppe · Prix Mika Motor Location (prix D'angers - Chmpt Paris Turf Des Ajj) Hurdle · 2m 2f 195y

#4

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength68%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Ascot 07/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 86 · 1m1f212y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2024 · OR 86 par7/093OR 862 @ Newmarket 11/10/2024 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR 93 · 1m4f Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/10/2024 · OR 93 par2 @ Newmarket 17/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 94 · 1m Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/04/2025 · OR 94 par17/042OR 942 @ York 16/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 93 · 1m2f56y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2025 · OR 93 par3 @ Sandown 13/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 91 · 1m1f209y Goo 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/06/2025 · OR 91 par13/063OR 912 @ York 12/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 91 · 1m2f56y Goo 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 91 par2 @ Sandown 30/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 95 · 1m1f209y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 95 par30/082OR 953 @ Epsom Downs 28/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 94 · 1m2f17y GS 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 94 par2 @ Chantilly 02/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 92 · 1m1f207y Hvy 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/04/2026 · OR 92 par2/042OR 92projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-02Chantilly27th5th+2
2025-09-28Epsom Downs39th8th+1
2025-08-30Sandown27th5th+2
2025-07-12York29th7th+2
2025-06-13Sandown31st0th+1
2025-05-16York28th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0916/0530/082/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength19%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/09/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
11/10/202410th5/174%36%-0.38
17/04/20258th11/142%30%-0.12
16/05/20258th10/147%42%-0.06
13/06/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
12/07/20259th25/10%53%+0.53
30/08/20257th7/163%45%-0.18
28/09/20259th9/276%11%-0.65
02/04/20267th14/126%40%+0.14