IvyArcIvyArc
4

Color Ritano

5yo Gelding · 10-12

Dieppe · Prix Qg Nautic Martin-eglise (prix Le Roi Thibault) Chase · 2m 3f 85y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

73%

Place Prob

61%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Auteuil 02/10/2024 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1452/10C?C0 @ Nantes 01/11/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 1471/11C?C0 @ Toulouse 09/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m1f87y Gd 1549/03C?3 @ Senonnes-Pouance 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 2m1f196y GS 1542/073projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-02Senonnes-Pouance31st1st0
2025-05-17Auteuil?0
2025-03-09Toulouse?1st1st0
2024-11-01Nantes?1st1st0
2024-10-02Auteuil?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/101/119/032/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20243rd25/10%78%+0.78
01/11/20241st9/276%100%+0.24
09/03/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
02/07/20261st8/158%100%+0.42