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8

Pourquoi Pas Maman

5yo Filly · 10-3

Dieppe · Prix Qg Nautic Martin-eglise (prix Le Roi Thibault) Chase · 2m 3f 85y

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Aix-Les-Bains 27/06/2024 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 14327/06C?C0 @ Compiegne 11/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14511/11C?C0 @ Fontainebleau 20/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f142y Hvy 15020/11C?C8 @ Fontainebleau 03/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 1523/12C8C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 12/12/2024 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 2m2f86y Ver 15412/12C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-12-12Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th4th0
2024-12-03Fontainebleau?1st1st0
2024-11-20Fontainebleau?6th6th0
2024-11-11Compiegne?6th6th0
2024-06-27Aix-Les-Bains?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0611/1120/113/1212/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/06/20242nd11/271%88%+0.16
11/11/20246th18/15%38%+0.32
20/11/20246th14/126%64%+0.38
03/12/20241st8/158%100%+0.42
12/12/20244th9/153%57%+0.05