7
Rogatien
5yo Gelding · 10-7
Dieppe · Prix Qg Nautic Martin-eglise (prix Le Roi Thibault) Chase · 2m 3f 85y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Dieppe | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Compiegne | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-23 | Compiegne | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 03/01/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 20/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 24/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 23/03/2026 | 17th | 9/1 | 53% | 6% | -0.47 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |