Big Tech
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 76
Ellis Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 02/01/2026 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 06/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 01/03/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 26/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |