6
Imperial Ruler
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 85
Ellis Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-04 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Keeneland | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-06-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength19%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/2024 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/04/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/05/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 20/06/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 10% | -0.27 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |