3
Prince J J
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 67
Ellis Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Keeneland | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |