Easy Dial
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 90
Ellis Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Keeneland | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |