8
Leslie's Mojeaux
3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 92
Ellis Park · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Lone Star | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-03-19 | Fair Grounds | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 12th | 10th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 19/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |