6
Miranda's Rocky
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 82
Ellis Park · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-06 | Ellis Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 21/02/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 15/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |