4
Briland
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 88
Ellis Park · Race 7 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Saratoga | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Saratoga | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/04/2025 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 40% | -0.56 |
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 29/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |