Bhatia
3yo Colt · 8-6 · OR 92
Ellis Park · Race 8 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Keeneland | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-23 | Keeneland | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 70% | +0.04 |
| 15/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 12/03/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |