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3

Cladach

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race · 7f

#13

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed ability when making the frame in a Fairyhouse maiden (7f) on debut. Failed to progress dropped to 6f when ninth of 13 at Cork 2 weeks ago, though it remains early days for his much-respected yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 7f Goo 1348/07C8C8 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f GF 13424/07C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Cork?9th11th−2
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20264th14/126%79%+0.52
24/07/20269th10/147%33%-0.14