Green Kite
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 62
Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA64 | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | BHA61 | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA66 | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Gowran Park | BHA69 | 13th | 14th | −0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Killarney | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 22/09/2025 | 9th | 500/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 20/10/2025 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 08/07/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |