6
Hexagonal
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 69
Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA69 | 13th | 14th | −0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA59 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA61 | 11th | 11th | +0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA64 | 9th | 9th | +0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA65 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 10/06/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 64% | -0.12 |
| 14/07/2026 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 23% | -0.45 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 31/07/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.14 |