9
Mo Anam Chara
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 69
Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA70 | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Dundalk | BHA68 | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-09-18 | Naas | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/09/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 27/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 12/11/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 03/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 19/04/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |