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14

Princess Chloe

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 61

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

After 4 months, showed improved form switched to turf when runner-up in a Limerick handicap in July. Unlucky not to finish closer when making the frame over this C&D 13 days ago and she could be ready to open her account with cheekpieces added.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 6f Std 12613/01C?C8 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 5f Std 12728/01C8C8 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 12911/02C8BHA61 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 61 · 7f Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 61 par27/0261OR 61BHA57 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 57 · 6f150y Gd 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 57 par11/0757OR 57BHA60 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 60 · 7f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 60 par25/0760OR 60projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA604th3rd+1
2026-07-11LimerickBHA572nd1st+1
2026-02-27DundalkBHA618th8th+0
2026-02-11Dundalk?4th6th−2
2026-01-28Dundalk?10th12th−2
2026-01-13Dundalk?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0128/0111/0227/0211/0725/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
28/01/202610th125/10%25%+0.25
11/02/20264th200/10%75%+0.75
27/02/20268th40/10%42%+0.42
11/07/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92
25/07/20264th6/168%77%+0.08