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Rock Iguana

4yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 80

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran well on return from 5 months off when second in handicap at Southwell in April. Not discredited when sixth of 11 at Kempton the following month and he's an interesting contender as he makes first run since leaving Kevin Philippart de Foy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength70%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 19/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 5f21y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS19/0555 @ Southwell 17/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f16y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS17/0855 @ Kempton 15/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f Sta 137 · HIGHER CLASS15/0954 @ Salisbury 02/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 84 · 6f Gd 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 84 par2/104OR 844 @ Wolverhampton 24/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 83 · 7f36y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/11/2025 · OR 83 par24/114OR 834 @ Southwell 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 81 · 7f14y Std 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 81 par25/044OR 814 @ Kempton 20/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 81 · 7f Sta 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 81 par20/054OR 81projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-20Kempton46th3rd+3
2026-04-25Southwell42nd-1th+3
2025-11-24Wolverhampton46th3rd+3
2025-10-02Salisbury411th8th+3
2025-09-15Kempton52nd0th+2
2025-08-17Southwell51st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/052/1020/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength74%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20253rd9/488%78%-0.10
17/08/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
15/09/20252nd6/492%88%-0.05
02/10/202511th14/126%9%-0.17
24/11/20256th8/158%55%-0.03
25/04/20262nd15/261%88%+0.27
20/05/20266th10/382%50%-0.32