11

Spirit Of Eagles

6yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 57

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE IRISH RACING PARTNERSHIP Optional Claiming Race · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Turned in best effort for some time when landing optional claimer at Fairyhouse (6f) in May. Shaped as if still in form back in handicaps next 2 starts and wasn't disgraced when sixth of 11 at Down Royal (5f) 11 days ago. Back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength78%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA43 @ Dundalk 24/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 43 · 6f Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 43 par24/1043OR 43C8 @ Dundalk 05/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 42 · 6f Std 122 · below its mark05/11/2025 · OR 42 parBHA40 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 40 · 6f Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 40 par13/0140OR 40C8 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 37 · 7f Std 131 · below its mark30/01/2026 · OR 37 parBHA40 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 40 · 6f61y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 40 par3/0540OR 40C7 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 40 · 6f25y Gd 128 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 40 parBHA59 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 59 · 5f Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 59 par19/0659OR 59BHA59 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 59 · 6f Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 59 parBHA59 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 59 · 5f Goo 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 59 par17/0759OR 59projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA596th5th+1
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA598th7th+1
2026-06-19Down RoyalBHA593rd2nd+1
2026-05-28Fairyhouse?1st1st0
2026-05-03SligoBHA403rd0th+3
2026-01-30Dundalk?11th12th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1030/0119/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength59%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20255th66/10%69%+0.69
05/11/202510th50/10%25%+0.25
13/01/202612th40/10%15%+0.15
30/01/202611th125/10%9%+0.09
03/05/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
28/05/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
19/06/20263rd12/137%71%+0.35
01/07/20268th16/116%30%+0.14
17/07/20266th11/142%50%+0.08