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5

Akecheta

6yo Mare · 9-7 · OR 83

Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Doubled her tally with success in minor event over this C&D in September. However, she hasn't been able to match that level so far this season, running poorly with cheekpieces added (now left off) when well held at this course (9.5f) in June.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA92 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 92 · 7f Hvy 129 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 92 par20/0992OR 92BHA93 @ Tipperary 05/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 93 · 1m1f Hvy 138 · below its mark05/10/2025 · OR 93 par1 @ Naas 12/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR 93 · 1m Yie 131 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 93 par12/101OR 931 @ Doncaster 08/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR 93 · 1m2f43y Hvy 130 · beat its mark08/11/2025 · OR 93 parBHA93 @ Curragh 15/03/2026 · Pos 17th of 25 · OR 93 · 1m Hvy 128 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 93 par15/0393OR 93BHA92 @ Curragh 03/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 92 · 1m2f Sft 132 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 92 parBHA88 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 88 · 1m2f100y Goo 130 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 88 par24/0488OR 88BHA86 @ Leopardstown 10/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 86 · 1m2f Gd 140 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 86 parBHA84 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 84 · 1m1f120y Yie 134 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 84 par1/0684OR 84projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-01Gowran ParkBHA847th7th0
2026-05-10LeopardstownBHA865th5th0
2026-04-24CorkBHA886th6th0
2026-04-03CurraghBHA9212th12th0
2026-03-15CurraghBHA9317th17th0
2025-11-08Doncaster18th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/098/1124/041/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
05/10/20252nd10/1195%80%-0.15
12/10/20254th11/271%81%+0.10
08/11/20258th18/15%59%+0.54
15/03/202617th7/282%33%-0.48
03/04/202612th9/153%35%-0.17
24/04/20266th9/276%67%-0.10
10/05/20265th10/382%60%-0.22
01/06/20267th10/382%14%-0.68