9
Hasita
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 73
Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA72 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Curragh | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2025 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 27/06/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |