7
Thrifty Of Digby
5yo Mare · 9-5 · OR 81
Gowran Park · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
49%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: BHA59
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA80 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | BHA75 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | BHA70 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sligo | BHA73 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | BHA74 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Navan | BHA75 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |
| 01/07/2025 | 13th | 5/1 | 74% | 8% | -0.66 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 16/09/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 08/04/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.02 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |