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11

Ballymagreehan

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64

Gowran Park · Edward Doran's Birthday Handicap · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner back in May. Raised 10 lb for that and not disgraced in 2 starts since, though looks in the handicapper's grip at present.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA56 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 56 · 1m Std 136 · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 56 par7/1156OR 56BHA57 @ Dundalk 26/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 57 · 1m Std 137 · beat its mark26/11/2025 · OR 57 parBHA57 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 57 · 7f Std 139 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 57 par10/1257OR 57BHA57 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 57 · 6f Std 141 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 57 parBHA57 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 57 · 7f Std 139 · beat its mark28/01/2026 · OR 57 par28/0157OR 57BHA56 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 56 · 1m Goo 138 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 56 parBHA55 @ Gowran Park 20/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 55 · 1m Goo 137 · beat its mark20/05/2026 · OR 55 par20/0555OR 55BHA65 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 65 · 1m1f100y Yie 135 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 65 parBHA64 @ Leopardstown 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 64 · 1m Goo 124 · below its mark09/07/2026 · OR 64 par9/0764OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09LeopardstownBHA647th7th0
2026-06-12Gowran ParkBHA657th7th0
2026-05-20Gowran ParkBHA551st1st0
2026-05-05Gowran ParkBHA5611th11th0
2026-01-28DundalkBHA576th6th0
2026-01-13DundalkBHA577th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1113/0120/059/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 13
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength67%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20252nd3/184%92%+0.08
26/11/20253rd7/491%85%-0.06
10/12/20253rd5/287%80%-0.07
13/01/20267th7/282%54%-0.28
28/01/20266th4/179%62%-0.17
05/05/202611th18/15%29%+0.23
20/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
12/06/20267th5/174%57%-0.17
09/07/20267th4/179%50%-0.29