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6

Bundle Of Interest

4yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 71

Gowran Park · Edward Doran's Birthday Handicap · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★ Timeform

Commentary

Opened account in handicap at Navan last summer. Returned to that level when a close third at Gowran in October but might have needed the run after 6 months off at Naas in May. Reappears here on the back of another break.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: BHA69
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA69 @ Navan 13/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 69 · 5f180y Goo 139 · beat its mark13/07/2025 · OR 69 par13/0769OR 69BHA78 @ Curragh 09/08/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 134 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 78 parBHA77 @ Roscommon 19/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 77 · 7f111y Gd 131 · below its mark19/08/2025 · OR 77 par19/0877OR 77BHA76 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 76 · 7f Goo 136 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 76 parBHA73 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 73 · 6f Yie 132 · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 73 par30/0973OR 73BHA72 @ Navan 08/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 72 · 1m40y Yie 125 · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 72 parBHA71 @ Gowran Park 20/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 71 · 7f Hvy 141 · below its mark20/10/2025 · OR 71 par20/1071OR 71BHA73 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 73 · 1m Std 119 · below its mark07/11/2025 · OR 73 parBHA73 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 73 · 5f205y Gd 133 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 73 par9/0573OR 73projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-09NaasBHA7311th11th0
2025-11-07DundalkBHA737th7th0
2025-10-20Gowran ParkBHA713rd3rd0
2025-10-08NavanBHA724th4th0
2025-09-30CorkBHA736th6th0
2025-09-02Gowran ParkBHA764th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/072/0920/109/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength14%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
09/08/202512th33/10%8%+0.08
19/08/20253rd18/15%82%+0.77
02/09/20254th9/153%70%+0.17
30/09/20256th12/137%55%+0.18
08/10/20254th28/10%63%+0.63
20/10/20253rd13/266%87%+0.21
07/11/20257th40/10%0%0.00
09/05/202611th22/10%17%+0.17