1
Ohailbhic
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 78
Gowran Park · Edward Doran's Birthday Handicap · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: BHA66
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA79 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Dundalk | BHA66 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Dundalk | BHA66 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Dundalk | BHA69 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 23/05/2025 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/10/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/12/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 85% | -0.02 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |