13
Reimagined
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 66
Gowran Park · Edward Doran's Birthday Handicap · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Dundalk | BHA67 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA70 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA73 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA74 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-10 | York | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Salisbury | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 12/09/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/10/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 03/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 01/07/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 12/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |