4
Send Harry
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 72
Gowran Park · Edward Doran's Birthday Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA73 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA74 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA71 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | BHA74 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | BHA75 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | BHA72 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 90% | +0.27 |
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 92% | +0.05 |
| 04/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.37 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 28/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |