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4

Churchfield Lady

3yo Filly · 10-1 · OR 59

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE RACING LEGACY Handicap (0-60) · 7f

#3

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has gone with little encouragement in 3 maidens and makes limited appeal on handicap debut despite hailing from a good yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f120y Sft 1293/05C8C8 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 12920/06C8C8 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 12925/07C8projClass-projected finish: 13th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Gowran Park?8th8th0
2026-06-20Down Royal?8th8th0
2026-05-03Cork?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0520/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20267th28/10%33%+0.33
20/06/20268th50/10%22%+0.22
25/07/20268th40/10%42%+0.42