8
Fontaine Khaled
3yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 54
Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE RACING LEGACY Handicap (0-60) · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: BHA55
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Bellewstown | BHA55 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | BHA55 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | BHA60 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA62 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | BHA64 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 10/09/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.38 |
| 12/10/2025 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 22/03/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 19/04/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 27/04/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 29/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |