5

Gilts

3yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 58

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE RACING LEGACY Handicap (0-60) · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in 3 maidens before showing much improved form to open her account in 12-runner event on handicap debut (28/1) over C&D (good to soft) in June. That race hasn't worked out but it's still early days with her.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.8)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 19/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 24 · OR - · 6f Sft 12919/04C8C8 @ Leopardstown 10/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f Gd 12910/05C8C8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 7f Std 12926/05C8BHA51 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 51 · 7f Yie 121 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 51 par12/0651OR 51projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Gowran ParkBHA511st1st0
2026-05-26Dundalk?9th9th0
2026-05-10Leopardstown?7th7th0
2026-04-19Curragh?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0410/0526/0512/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/04/202614th100/10%43%+0.43
10/05/20267th40/10%25%+0.25
26/05/20269th150/10%20%+0.20
12/06/20261st28/10%100%+1.00