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13

He's Holding Court

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 44

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE RACING LEGACY Handicap (0-60) · 7f

#11

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Yet to better just poor form and improvement needed with the first-time tongue strap/cheekpieces now on.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 9.3)

Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 1299/01C8C8 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 129C8 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 12911/02C8BHA52 @ Naas 22/03/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 52 · 5f Sft 120 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 52 parBHA49 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR 49 · 1m Goo 119 · beat its mark24/04/2026 · OR 49 par24/0449OR 49BHA47 @ Gowran Park 05/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 47 · 1m Goo 125 · beat its mark05/05/2026 · OR 47 parBHA47 @ Roscommon 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 47 · 7f111y Gd 119 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 47 par11/0547OR 47BHA46 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 46 · 7f94y Goo 119 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 46 parBHA44 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 44 · 6f150y Gd 124 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 44 par11/0744OR 44projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-11LimerickBHA4410th10th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA4613th13th0
2026-05-11RoscommonBHA474th4th0
2026-05-05Gowran ParkBHA476th6th0
2026-04-24CorkBHA497th7th0
2026-03-22NaasBHA5213th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0122/0311/0511/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 15
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength55%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/01/202613th125/10%8%+0.08
30/01/202610th150/10%31%+0.31
11/02/20268th150/10%42%+0.42
22/03/202613th20/10%14%+0.14
24/04/20267th33/10%65%+0.65
05/05/20266th11/142%62%+0.19
11/05/20264th16/116%75%+0.59
30/06/202613th14/126%14%-0.12
11/07/202610th10/147%31%-0.17