6

Make The Tide

3yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 58

Gowran Park · 1XBET.IE RACING LEGACY Handicap (0-60) · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Timeform

Commentary

No better than mid-field in 3 maidens/handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: BHA61
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m Gd 12915/05C8C8 @ Dundalk 26/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f Std 12926/05C8C8 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 7f35y Sft 12911/06C8BHA61 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 61 · 1m160y Goo 131 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 61 par1/0761OR 61projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA619th9th0
2026-06-11Leopardstown?6th6th0
2026-05-26Dundalk?6th6th0
2026-05-15Leopardstown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0526/0511/061/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 15
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/05/20268th25/10%50%+0.50
26/05/20266th40/10%50%+0.50
11/06/20266th18/15%55%+0.49
01/07/20269th12/137%38%+0.02